Ashes 1st Test betting tips England v Australia predictions at Cardiff

England and Australia will go head to head in the much-awaited 1st Ashes Test of 2015 at Cardiff in Wales. The Ashes 1st Test betting tips & predictions to be placed below.

Result:

England notched up a shock 169-run win with Joe Root winning the man-of-the-match award.

Day Four Update:

Chris Rogers fell with the score at 19 but David Warner, after surviving an early bowling onslaught and Steven Smith seemed to have done well to almost carry Australia through to lunch. It was what turned out to be the last ball before the break that saw Moeen Ali pick off Warner with a straighter one. Interestingly, England are still a hefty 5/6 to win the Test and these are very good odds to pick them up at. Australia are 13/5.

England, at that stage were 5/6 and it would have been a good chance to make some money. Because Australia are tethering on the brink of a heavy loss. They lost five wickets and are seven wickets down at this stage, with the two Mitchells, Starc and Johnson at the crease. England are 1/100 now!

Day Three Update:

It was England’s day yet again as they bowled Australia out cheaply in the first innings before going on to pile up 289 in their second innings. What that means is Australia need to chase down 412 to win the first Test. A chase of more than 400 has happened only four times in the history of Test cricket and that speaks of the volume of how tough this is going to be.

England favourites for me.

Day Two Update:

England went on to score 430 in their first innings after Moeen Ali took on the Aussie bowlers to hit a 70 before Australia slumped to five wickets down for 243 at close. Three of their batsmen got out to 30s with only Chris Rogers going on to make 95 and offering stability to the score.

Day One Update:

England ended the first day at 343 for seven thanks to Joe Root’s superb ton. Root was dropped when on zero by Brad Haddin and England recovered from 43 for three to pile on the misery.

Overview:

Ever since Darren Lehmann took over as coach of Australia, they haven’t lost much. In fact Lehman’s first Test series defeat came in England when he had just over a fortnight to take over as coach from the sacked Mickey Arthur. Since then Australia have gone from strength to strength, struggling only against Pakistan in UAE.

England’s story has gone the other way. They defeated Australia in that Ashes 2013 series at home but capitulated in Australia 5-0 and then saw a crisis exploding into a controversy and manifesting into the loss of two coaches and their best Test batsman in the process.

While the England fans might not forget or forgive the way the Kevin Pietersen sacking was handled by the ECB, what could act as a bit of a balm will be an improved showing from England this series.

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Make no mistake, Australia enter the series as heavy favourites (they are 2/5 to win the series to England’s 4/1) and if England can take the attack to the opposition, it will do them a world of good as far as winning their fans back is concerned.

Australia’s confidence will be sky-high from their World Cup win and the drubbing of West Indies in West Indies, not to mention the victories in both their warm-up games against Kent and Essex.

England only managed a 1-1 draw against West Indies while eking out the same result versus New Zealand at home but have a new coach to look out in Trevor Bayliss. They have a slightly fresh side too, which should help but a man-to-man comparison puts Australia in front at the moment.

Ashes 1st Test Probable XIs:

Australia don’t have too many decisions to make now that Ryan Harris has retired from the game. It will be down to that lone all-rounder’s spot which will be up for discussion with Shane Watson and Mitchell Marsh. Marsh had an excellent outing against Essex with the bat and picked up a couple of wickets with the ball too. The other question is whether to bring Chris Rogers back or have Shaun Marsh open the innings.

England will need to decide on whether or not to throw leg-spinner Adil Rashid into the deep end. The other, more defensive option will be to play Moeen Ali and given one’s expecting this new-look England side to be more aggressive, we might see the leggie feature in this one. There shouldn’t be any change apart from that.

Players to watch out for:

Joe Root (England):
He has been England’s best batsman in recent times in both Tests and ODIs. While he didn’t have the best of times in the Tests against New Zealand, finishing with 183 runs at 45.75, one can rest assure he will be the batsman the Aussies will be targetting knowing how valuable his wicket is in the middle-order.

Mitchell Starc (Australia):
He’s been the man of the year along with Steven Smith for Australia. With a man-of-the-tournament award in the World Cup and a performance to remember in the IPL, Starc followed it up by plundering 10 wickets in West Indies and sealing his place in the side. His ability to swing the ball will be a tester for the English top-order.

Ashes England v Australia head to head:
With the first Ashes Test played in 1882, this is the 321st in the history of this great rivalry. Australia have won 128, England have won 103 and there have been 89 draws so far. The last time these two played was in Australia in 2013-14 and the hosts had won the series 5-0. England haven’t lost a home Ashes series since 2001.

Ashes 1st Test betting tips:
Australia to win: 10/11
David Warner to be Australia’s top batsman: 7/2
Starc to be Australia’s top bowler: 11/4
Root to be England’s top batsman: 10/3

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Australia to win the 1st Test – 6/1
England to wit the 1st Test – 10/1

Where to watch the Ashes 1st Test?

England fans can tune in to Sky Sports to watch the Ashes series live on TV while Aussies will be able to watch it live on Channel Nine. Interestingly, Channel Nine will have its own commentary team in England bringing the series to the Aussie televisions. Indian viewers can watch it live on Star Sports 1.

Match starts at 11 am local time (1000 hours GMT or 9 pm AEDT) on July 8.

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